Friday 19 June 2009

Ascot day 3

River captain ran a great race but ultimately got beat in a bunch finish.
I am happy with my selections so far but not getting that bit of luck at the moment.
Today i like

2.30 ascot-Above limits 1/2 point win @ 59/1 betfair
3.05 ascot -Debussy 1 point win @10-1 bet 365
2.10 redcar- Highcliffe breeze 2 points win 5/1 at the moment bet 365 but waiting for others to price up.

Above limits is a huge price to win what might be a more open race than the betting is making out , there are plenty with chances and I can see no reason why this is not around 14-1 for this race. The price is simply to big , I have gone for a win because the betfair price is 20 points above the best bookies price.

Debussy is another who is too big today , black bear island is a poor price and is worse of with debussy on the derby form and has to give him weight, the other runners seem a moderate bunch so i'm hopeful for a decent win here.
The best of the day goes in the seller at redcar and a big run is expected , just waiting on the prices but will record at price I take.

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